Supercomputer gives Black Stars of Ghana just 13.8% chance of beating Colombia at World Cup

The Black Stars of Ghana face one of their toughest tests at the 2026 FIFA World Cup when they take on Colombia in a high-stakes Round of 32 encounter on Friday night in Kansas City.

With a place in the last 16 on the line, Ghana will need to produce a major upset against the South American side to keep their World Cup dream alive. However, pre-match predictions suggest the Black Stars face an uphill battle.

According to Opta’s supercomputer, Ghana have been given only a 13.8% chance of defeating Colombia, while the South Americans are overwhelming favourites to progress. Colombia emerged victorious in 64.8% of 25,000 match simulations, highlighting the scale of the challenge facing Carlos Queiroz’s men.

The remaining 21.4% of simulations ended in a draw after 90 minutes, meaning extra time and potentially penalties could be required to separate the two sides.